CA Prop 19, about which I have always been pessimistic, is losing by 4 points. A Field Poll released July 9th shows it trailing 44-48, with more than three-fourths of voters being aware of the bill. Among those not familiar, it is opposed 2:1, indicating that when those voters go, the proposition will lose by even more. Opposition is a surprisingly high 47% among voters 30-39. With the major Democrats legislators sitting it out and Dianne Feinstein pushing against it, I think we can call this one "highly unlikely."
Jul 23 2010